Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.000114 0.000125 0.000137 0.000151 0.000166 0.000183 0.000202
2025-11-30 0.000093 0.000110 0.000129 0.000153 0.000182 0.000215 0.000258
2025-12-07 0.000081 0.000100 0.000124 0.000156 0.000196 0.000247 0.000316
2025-12-14 0.000070 0.000090 0.000117 0.000153 0.000202 0.000266 0.000360
2025-12-21 0.000061 0.000081 0.000108 0.000147 0.000202 0.000278 0.000394
2025-12-28 0.000056 0.000077 0.000105 0.000148 0.000210 0.000301 0.000446
2026-01-04 0.000051 0.000073 0.000103 0.000149 0.000219 0.000325 0.000501
2026-01-11 0.000047 0.000068 0.000099 0.000147 0.000223 0.000341 0.000545
2026-01-18 0.000044 0.000065 0.000096 0.000147 0.000230 0.000364 0.000603
2026-01-25 0.000041 0.000061 0.000093 0.000145 0.000233 0.000379 0.000649
2026-02-01 0.000038 0.000059 0.000091 0.000145 0.000239 0.000399 0.000707
2026-02-08 0.000035 0.000056 0.000087 0.000143 0.000240 0.000412 0.000753
2026-02-15 0.000033 0.000052 0.000083 0.000139 0.000240 0.000422 0.000796
2026-02-22 0.000031 0.000050 0.000082 0.000141 0.000250 0.000453 0.000885
2026-03-01 0.000030 0.000049 0.000082 0.000144 0.000261 0.000489 0.000989
2026-03-08 0.000028 0.000047 0.000079 0.000141 0.000262 0.000503 0.001051
2026-03-15 0.000026 0.000043 0.000075 0.000136 0.000258 0.000506 0.001088
2026-03-22 0.000024 0.000042 0.000074 0.000136 0.000265 0.000534 0.001185
2026-03-29 0.000023 0.000041 0.000073 0.000137 0.000273 0.000564 0.001294
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000039 0.000070 0.000135 0.000275 0.000581 0.001371
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000038 0.000069 0.000136 0.000282 0.000610 0.001486
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000036 0.000067 0.000134 0.000283 0.000627 0.001568
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000035 0.000066 0.000134 0.000288 0.000653 0.001683